Right-wing groups, particularly religious and conservative organizations, shifted focus to transgender issues following setbacks in other cultural battles, such as the legalization of same-sex marriage in the United States in 2015. Recognizing that opposition to gay rights was losing public support, these groups strategically pivoted to transgender rights as a new wedge issue to galvanize their base. Posts on X and various analyses suggest this shift was deliberate, with religious right organizations redirecting their resources and rhetoric to target trans people as a new "threat" to traditional family structures and societal norms. For example, after the Obergefell v. Hodges decision, groups like the Heritage Foundation and the Alliance Defending Freedom began framing transgender rights as an attack on religious freedom, parental rights, and child safety.
Astroturfing involves creating the illusion of widespread public support for a cause while concealing the influence of powerful, well-funded actors. Right-wing groups have employed several tactics to manufacture and amplify the anti-transgender moral panic:
Conservative media outlets, such as Fox News, have played a central role in disseminating anti-trans narratives. For instance, Fox News mentioned Critical Race Theory over 1,300 times in four months in 2021, a tactic mirrored in their coverage of transgender issues, framing them as a "social contagion" or "threat to children." This relentless coverage creates a feedback loop, normalizing fearmongering. Similarly, mainstream outlets like the New York Times have been criticized for lending legitimacy to anti-trans talking points under the guise of "neutral" reporting, often elevating critics with ties to anti-LGBTQ groups without disclosing their backgrounds.
Since 2020, there has been a dramatic increase in anti-trans legislation, with 541 bills targeting transgender individuals introduced in U.S. state legislatures by 2023, up from 19 in 2018. These bills, often drafted by organizations like the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC), focus on restricting gender-affirming care, banning trans athletes from sports, and limiting bathroom access. The uniformity of these bills across states suggests a coordinated effort rather than organic grassroots demand. For example, bills in states like Tennessee and Montana have used vague definitions of "drag shows" to criminalize trans existence in public spaces, a tactic that appears spontaneous but is backed by well-funded conservative think tanks.
A recurring theme in astroturf campaigns is the claim that transgender individuals, particularly trans youth, pose a danger to children. This narrative leverages emotional appeals, such as fears of "irreversible damage" from gender-affirming care or "predatory" behavior in bathrooms. The concept of "rapid-onset gender dysphoria" (ROGD), popularized by figures like Abigail Shrier, has been debunked as pseudoscience but is heavily promoted to stoke fears of a "transgender craze." These claims are often amplified by groups like the Heritage Foundation, which frame their opposition as protecting "women and girls."
: Some right-wing campaigns have aligned with "gender-critical" feminists to broaden their appeal, framing trans rights as a threat to women’s safety or fairness in sports. This tactic creates a veneer of progressive concern while reinforcing reactionary goals. Scholars argue this alignment taps into "respectable" middle-class feminism to legitimize transphobia, masking its ties to far-right agendas.
The anti-trans movement is heavily funded by conservative donors and organizations. An EU-funded study (RESIST) identified that key actors in anti-gender campaigns in Europe are primarily men in conservative and far-right circles, with significant financial backing. In the U.S., groups like the Alliance Defending Freedom and the Heritage Foundation have been linked to funding anti-trans initiatives, including legal challenges and public campaigns. These efforts create a perception of widespread public concern, when in reality, they are driven by a small but powerful network.
The anti-transgender moral panic fits the sociological definition of a moral panic, characterized by exaggerated fears, hostility toward a marginalized group, and disproportionate reactions. Right-wing astroturf efforts exploit these elements:
: Trans people are portrayed as "deviants" threatening societal norms, with rhetoric like "transgenderism must be eradicated" (voiced at CPAC 2023) fueling hostility. This language, used by figures like Donald Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene, inflates the perceived threat of a tiny minority (0.7% of the U.S. population).
: Anti-trans campaigns often rely on misinformation, such as claims that trans athletes dominate sports (debunked by studies showing no advantage after hormone therapy) or that gender-affirming care is "child mutilation." These narratives are spread through coordinated media campaigns and social media, where right-wing influencers amplify unverified anecdotes. For instance, false claims about Boston Children’s Hospital performing genital surgeries on minors went viral, leading to threats against healthcare providers.
Anti-trans rhetoric is weaponized to sow division, including within the LGBTQ+ community. By pitting gay and lesbian rights against trans rights (e.g., through groups like the LGB Alliance), right-wing groups weaken broader progressive coalitions. This tactic mirrors historical strategies to divide labor movements or racial minorities, as noted in discussions of how anti-trans narratives distract from broader economic or social issues.
The astroturfed moral panic has tangible consequences:
Legislative Overreach: Laws restricting trans rights, such as bans on gender-affirming care or sports participation, have surged, often with little evidence of public demand. These policies harm trans individuals and, by extension, other minorities, as seen in book bans targeting both LGBTQ+ and racial justice content.
Increased Violence: Anti-trans rhetoric has been linked to a 587% increase in hate crimes against trans and gender-nonconforming individuals between 2013 and 2019, with 59 trans people killed in the U.S. in 2021 alone.
Erosion of Rights: By framing trans rights as a threat, these campaigns undermine broader human rights protections, aligning with authoritarian efforts to control marginalized groups.
While right-wing groups have effectively manufactured this panic, it’s worth noting that public support for anti-trans policies is not as widespread as claimed. Polls show 65% of Republicans and 80% of Americans support nondiscrimination protections for LGBTQ+ people, suggesting the panic is driven by a vocal minority with outsized influence. The reliance on astroturfing reveals a lack of genuine grassroots support, as these campaigns often bypass democratic processes, using well-funded networks to push legislation that contradicts public sentiment.